Gary Player predicts Chinese golf "tsunami" November 18, 2009

Gary Player and Liang Wenchong

Gary Player and Liang Wenchong

With golf now an Olympic sport (starting in 2016) it seems everyone has grand predictions about the game’s future in China, especially golf legends (see the Jack Nicklaus doozy in my recent piece on ESPN.com). Now it is Gary Player’s turn. I wouldn’t put money on Player’s prediction coming true — the Rio Games are less than seven years away — but banking on the production of elite Chinese golfers makes a lot more sense to me than counting on exponential growth in public courses in China.

This is Player’s quote (based on versions found here and here):

That was on everybody’s lips, particularly in China, about golf being in the Olympic Games. I’ve been known as a kook with my predictions throughout my career. I said everybody would be doing weight training in sports. They all said I was mad. Now, I’m going to make another prediction and say that by the time the 2016 Olympic Games come along, I think there will be three Chinese players — or even five — in the top 100 in the world. They’ve already got one, a man named Liang (Wenchong), who I’ve watched swing for a long time. Particularly in China, the Olympics mean so much to them and little towns where they really didn’t know about golf will now start to have golf courses. We are busy negotiating and bidding on at least nine golf course in China — we’ve already done nine — so they’re coming at us like a tsunami, not only economically, but in the sports field and golf, for a man to win a gold medal for his country I think is the ultimate.

Liang Wenchong is currently ranked 85th in the world. The next Chinese golfer, Zhang Lianwei, is 708th. Liang and Zhang will be 38 and 51 years old, respectively, in 2016.


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About Par for China

I am Dan Washburn, an American writer based in Shanghai, China. I am currently researching an as-yet-publisherless book about the development of golf in China. Golf, its emergence and growth in China, is a barometer for the country's rapid economic rise. But golf is also symbolic of the less glamorous realities of a nation's awkward and arduous evolution from developing to developed — historical prejudice, class struggle, political corruption, environmental neglect, and an ever-widening gap between rich and poor. This website is dedicated to some of my work on the topic. My writing has appeared in such publications as Slate, Financial Times Weekend Magazine, Foreign Policy, ESPN.com, Golf World, GOOD, Budget Travel, Economist.com, Outside's GO, Business China (part of The Economist), Baseball America and the South China Morning Post. In 2008, a piece of mine was featured in the book Inside The Ropes: Sportswriters Get Their Game On, an anthology of the best of participatory sports journalism. (more)

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Story in Slate Magazine

"The Forbidden Game," my Slate Magazine piece featuring China's 'golf police,' bulldozed fairways and plenty of local politics ran in March 2010. Be sure to check out the companion photo essay with images from Ryan Pyle.

Photo essay in Foreign Policy

In February 2010 I teamed up with Shanghai-based documentary photographer Ryan Pyle for a photo essay in Foreign Policy entitled "China’s Golf Obsession."



Financial Times Weekend Magazine cover story

I began 2010 with a Financial Times Weekend Magazine cover story ( “Golf’s secret boom in Hainan, China” ) which examines a highly secretive and controversial golf construction project that, when completed, will be the largest collection of courses in the world — nearly 1.5 times the size of Manhattan.






Golf World magazine cover story

I wrote the November 9, 2009 cover story for Condé Nast’s Golf World magazine, “Last Call,” which profiled China’s pioneering pro golfers, whose window of opportunity for competitive success might be closing. Read the story here.

HSBC Champions coverage for ESPN.com

In November 2009, I filed five stories for ESPN.com from the HSBC Champions golf tournament in Shanghai, which ended in a final day showdown between the world’s top two golfers, Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson. You can find introductions and links to all five stories here.

Golf in China series on ESPN.com


Quoted in The Wall Street Journal

The Wall Street Journal's Jonathan Cheng interviewed me for his story "Beijing Pulls Out Its Driver," which appeared in the November 27, 2009 print edition. You can read the story here.

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